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ChooseFxBroker

Let's Talk About Where Gold is Headed

in 2025...

3 min read
Intermediate
Let's cut through the noise and look at what's really going on with gold prices.

Table of Contents

The Big Picture

Gold's been on a tear this year - up 27% since January. That's huge. But here's the thing: just because something's gone up doesn't mean it'll keep going up. Let's look at what's actually happening.

What's Working Right Now

Let's see

  • Price is moving up in a channel (basically trading between two upward-sloping lines)
  • Gold bounced off the bottom of this channel recently - that's usually a good sign
  • We're seeing lots of interest in gold as a safe haven with all the global drama

What's Not Looking So Hot

Let's see

  • Gold dropped after the Fed talked about rate cuts - not what you'd expect
  • It keeps hitting a wall around $2,720 - couldn't break through in November or December
  • There's a lot of selling pressure right now

About That $3,070 Prediction...

BullionVault surveyed about 1,450 people who think gold's hitting $3,070 by the end of 2025. That's a nice round number, but here's what they're not talking about:

  • What happens with interest rates
  • The dollar's strength (usually when dollar goes up, gold goes down)
  • How much gold central banks are buying
  • Real demand from jewelry and industry

The Trump Factor

The analysis mentions Trump possibly coming back to the White House. Look, politics aside, any big change in leadership can shake up markets. But betting on gold just because of an election? That's pretty risky.

What to Watch For

If you're trading gold, keep an eye on:

  1. That $2,720 level - it's the ceiling right now
  2. The bottom of the channel - if price breaks below, things could get ugly
  3. Fed announcements - they're still moving markets big time
  4. Physical gold buying - especially from central banks

My Take

Short term? I'm a bit cautious. That selling pressure after the Fed announcement isn't something to ignore. But longer term? Gold's got some good reasons to go up - global tensions, debt concerns, central bank buying.

Key Takeaways

  • Don't bet the farm on any one prediction
  • Keep your stops tight, especially around that $2,720 level
  • Watch for a break either way - could lead to a big move
  • Pay attention to what the Fed's doing with rates

Ready to start trading?

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